منابع مشابه
Technological Forecasting: A Strategic Imperative
Assessing future opportunities and threats is a serious management concern. All we know about the future is that it will very likely pose new and different challenges. Hence, the basic resources which serve a business today may have little relevance under tomorrow's conditions. If a business is to survive, it must be prepared to adapt rapidly to the requirements of the future. Difficulty arises...
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I examined six ways of selecting forecasting methods: Convenience, “what’s easy,” is inexpensive, but risky. Market popularity, “what others do,” sounds appealing but is unlikely to be of value because popularity and success may not be related and because it overlooks some methods. Structured judgment, “what experts advise,” which is to rate methods against prespecified criteria, is promising. ...
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An organization needs to develop a forecasting system involving several approaches to predicting uncertain events. Such forecasting systems require the development of expertise in identifying forecasting problems, applying a range of forecasting methods, selecting appropriate methods for each problem, and evaluating and refining forecasting methods over time. It is also important to have strong...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Tetsu-to-Hagane
سال: 1981
ISSN: 0021-1575,1883-2954
DOI: 10.2355/tetsutohagane1955.67.6_703